I do not disagree with anything you say in this post BUT Miami is still bursting at the seams and has little available space to grow apart from vertically - so even though there will be a glut of condos, it remains a desirable place to live for many and eventually this may be absorbed - Who knows though - I may be totally wrong....
There are 23,000 condos on the market -- that doesn't include FSBO or single family. Some
states don't have that big a backlog.
23K is a 31 month supply, and there are another 25K coming ... sorry, but the 'they're not making anymore waterfront property' wouldn't be very comforting if you had a $100K deposit on a pre-construction condo right now.
I give you credit though for going for the positive spin, given the facts and this from the article:
"Miami is the poster child for the condo bust," said Jack McCabe, CEO of McCabe Research & Consulting, a real-estate market-analysis firm located in Deerfield Beach. "There are probably only two cities in the world with more construction: Shanghai and Dubai. Unfortunately, there is going to be a lot of foreclosures . . ., and developers, lenders, title companies and real-estate companies will go under."
Many analysts, McCabe among them, predict the area's condo collapse will drag the rest of the state into recession. Other experts scoff at that notion. But nearly all agree grim times lie ahead.
Usually joyous milestones, closings in Miami are about to become somber days of reckoning for electricians, waiters, retirees and other amateur speculators who counted on making a quick killing in a market they thought would rise forever.