Ida heading toward SoWal [downgraded to tropical storm]

nicdeedoop · #1 11-05-2009, 12:32 PM

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...l.html#a_topad

kurt · #2 11-05-2009, 01:11 PM

kurt · #3 11-05-2009, 01:12 PM

Gidget · #4 11-05-2009, 01:25 PM

What's this craziness?? I thought past October we were in the clear.

THANKS for the heads up - I had no idea.

G

Gidget · #5 11-05-2009, 01:28 PM

Now they are calling it Hurricane Ida!

Here4Good · #6 11-05-2009, 01:43 PM

Get out and enjoy this weather, it looks like next weekend will be a rainy one!

Johnrudy · #7 11-05-2009, 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gidget

What's this craziness?? I thought past October we were in the clear.

THANKS for the heads up - I had no idea.

G

i believe hurricane season ends at the end of Nov.

Smiling JOe · #8 11-05-2009, 01:57 PM

That's right, and last year or the year before, I seem to recall one forming at the end of Nov. I hear that Hurricane Katie (sp?) formed this late in the season.

On a side note, the headers on weatherunderground.com for Tropical Storm Ida, titles it "Hurricane Ida." Be prepared, people! You never know what may happen.

jdarg · #9 11-05-2009, 02:18 PM

I thought some sort of high pressure/cold front was supposed to keep it pushed oof the Gulf Coast? Did that change?

SGB · #10 11-05-2009, 02:34 PM

From Jeff Masters of Weather Underground:
The long-term fate of Ida if it reaches the Gulf of Mexico is hard to guess at this point, though the odds are against Ida hitting the U.S. as a hurricane, due to high wind shear.

Let's hope he's right!

beachmouse · #11 11-05-2009, 03:19 PM

Given the wind shear, climatology, and other environmental factors, odds are that Ida will go wide right and make landfall as a tropical storm somewhere between Ceday Key and Ft. Myers, provided that she doesn't dissipate altogether during her Central American meander.

MissCritter · #12 11-05-2009, 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beachmouse

Given the wind shear, climatology, and other environmental factors, odds are that Ida will go wide right and make landfall as a tropical storm somewhere between Ceday Key and Ft. Myers, provided that she doesn't dissipate altogether during her Central American meander.

I vote for that plan.

Hop · #13 11-05-2009, 05:28 PM

surfs up

passin' thru · #14 11-05-2009, 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gidget

What's this craziness?? I thought past October we were in the clear.

THANKS for the heads up - I had no idea.

G

Storm "season" is a result of stats & probabilities, the relative likelihood of a storm hitting during a given period:

November has lower probability, but not zero.

Starfish · #15 11-05-2009, 06:04 PM

We were living in Tallahassee in November, 1985 when Hurricane Kate hit. It spawned many tornadoes and knocked out the power. Many people were unable to prepare Thanksgiving meals. That is the latest (in the season) hurricane I can recall and I've been through many. Let's hope and pray this one chooses to go out into the Atlantic and disappear!

Johnrudy · #16 11-05-2009, 07:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Starfish

We were living in Tallahassee in November, 1985 when Hurricane Kate hit. It spawned many tornadoes and knocked out the power. Many people were unable to prepare Thanksgiving meals. That is the latest (in the season) hurricane I can recall and I've been through many. Let's hope and pray this one chooses to go out into the Atlantic and disappear!

I remember this. We lived in the Tampa Bay area and were driving up to see my dad in Andalusia for Thanksgiving. We didn't think we were gonna make it there!

Bobby J · #17 11-05-2009, 07:53 PM

Long surf trip and return to this..... Life is good!

ChillPill · #18 11-05-2009, 08:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beachmouse

Given the wind shear, climatology, and other environmental factors, odds are that Ida will go wide right and make landfall as a tropical storm somewhere between Ceday Key and Ft. Myers, provided that she doesn't dissipate altogether during her Central American meander.

I sure hope that Ida has a mid-ocean crisis and she just dissipates! But at least we have a little bit of time to prepare just in case...

NotDeadYet · #19 11-06-2009, 07:22 AM

Here is this morning's Ida discussion from crownweather.com (Friday Nov 6)
Looking a little close to SoWal

Ida is over eastern Honduras and Nicaragua this morning and it has weakened to a 35 mph tropical depression. Most of the deep thunderstorm activity is on the north side of the storm. Looking at satellite loops this morning, I suspect that Ida will be back over water in the northwest Caribbean by late this afternoon or early this evening, if not sooner. Once in the northwest Caribbean, Ida is expected to strengthen. The latest intensity guidance has a pretty large spread and ranges from a moderate tropical storm in about 3 to 4 days (SHIPS/DSHIPS) to a hurricane in 3 to 4 days (GFDL/HWRF). At this point, it seems likely based on the overall weather pattern in the northwest Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico, that Ida will strengthen, possibly significantly, as the environment will be favorable and sea surface temperatures are quite warm; in fact, the wind shear over the northwest Caribbean may in fact line up with the forward motion of Ida and aid in intensification this weekend. So, for right now I am forecasting that Ida will be either a strong tropical storm or a Category 1 hurricane on Monday morning as it pushes into the Gulf of Mexico.
Ida is tracking nearly due north at a forward speed of 6 mph. This motion may actually continue through this weekend and Ida should reach the southernmost Gulf of Mexico by Monday morning and the central Gulf of Mexico by later Tuesday. After that, the forecast becomes quite tricky as Ida may start being steered by a trough of low pressure that digs into the northern Gulf of Mexico and thus turns to the northeast. This northeast motion will cause the storm to move parallel to the shear and thus either maintain its strength or perhaps even strengthen a little more. The model guidance seems to be now clustering on a end track that would eventually bring Ida onshore somewhere between just north of Tampa and the eastern part of the Florida Panhandle as we head towards later next week. Another possibility is that this trough of low pressure misses Ida and leaves it meandering in the Gulf of Mexico late next week. If this happens, then strong and unfavorable shear and dry air would rip it apart.
So, here is my thinking: I think Ida will move back over water in the northwest Caribbean by late this afternoon or very early this evening and track northward through the northwest Caribbean this weekend. I also expect Ida to intensify this weekend. By Monday morning, I think Ida will be pushing into the southernmost Gulf of Mexico as a strong tropical storm or a Category 1 hurricane. Once it is in the Gulf of Mexico, I think Ida will move nearly parallel to the shear, especially when it turns more to the northeast on Tuesday, so I suspect Ida will maintain that strength or perhaps even strengthen a little more, so I am forecasting that Ida will be a low end Category 1 hurricane as it tracks through the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week. At this time, there is a chance that Ida will come ashore somewhere between just north of Tampa and the eastern part of the Florida Panhandle either on Thursday or next Friday as a strong tropical storm or a Category 1 hurricane. In addition, Ida would also be a major rainfall producer for Florida and other parts of the southeast United States later next week.

Gidget · #20 11-06-2009, 07:15 PM

Not a lot has changed - ugh - we don't need this while constructing!

DuneLaker · #21 11-07-2009, 08:21 AM

Time to turn the sprinklers to OFF.

30A Skunkape · #22 11-07-2009, 09:50 AM

My weather lab predicts a light drizzle and some downed pine cones. Even if this thing hits us it will be wimpier than the tropical storm that struck earlier in the year. Relax all, and enjoy this fine fall weather

Smiling JOe · #23 11-07-2009, 11:26 AM

don't forget about the extra sand it should likely push onto the beach.

BeachSiO2 · #24 11-07-2009, 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smiling JOe

don't forget about the extra sand it should likely push onto the beach.

Hopefully you don't mind if I switch your phrasing slightly, depending on how much swell it creates...

"don't forget about the extra sand it could push onto the beach."

DuneLaker · #25 11-08-2009, 07:21 AM

Nice morning and temperature about 60F. Clouds on the southern horizon with blue skies overhead. But, instead of quiet gulf we've had the past few days could hear a pretty good surf this morning. At sunrise, couldn't really see waves breaking from about 1000 feet away, however, now about an hour later waves are splashing up against the shore and small white caps visible. On this coastal dune lake, winds are about 8 mph NE. Only one old coot (not me or the neighbors - we've had hundreds quacking about in the past:) on the lake with waves about 1 inch. Update: three old coots on lake.

Gidget · #26 11-08-2009, 08:20 AM

Ida becomes hurricane a 2nd time off Mexico coast *| ajc.com

Ida is once again a HURRICANE!

"The hurricane center forecast that Ida could strengthen to Category 2 later Sunday."

Gidget · #27 11-08-2009, 08:31 AM

NotDeadYet · #28 11-08-2009, 09:27 AM

Latest discussion from Crownweather.com

Discussion

Hurricane Ida :
Here is the 6 am Eastern Time/5 am Central Time Information On Hurricane Ida:
Location: 20.8 North Latitude, 85.7 West Longitude.
Maximum Sustained Winds: 90 mph.
Movement: Northwest or 325 Degrees at a forward speed of 12 mph.
Minimum Central Pressure: 983 millibars or 29.03 inches.
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft found a 90 mph hurricane late last night with a 984 millibar central pressure. I expect Ida to strengthen some more today and for it to reach Category 2 strength either today or tonight. The reason for this thinking is because Ida will be over some very warm ocean waters for the next 24 hours or so and the environment is somewhat favorable. I suspect that Ida will peak at between 100 and 105 mph later this afternoon and tonight. As we get into Monday and Tuesday, Ida will start to track into cooler sea surface temperatures during Monday and also into an area of higher wind shear; although I continue to believe that Ida's forward motion will line up with the southwesterly wind shear and cause a net shear of nearly zero and thus not weaken as quickly as you would normally see. The global models forecast that Ida will start to become extratropical during Tuesday. I'm not convinced that Ida will be extratropical by the time it reaches the northern Gulf coast. The latest GFDL model forecasts that Ida will come ashore as a Category 1 hurricane near Mobile, Alabama late Monday night. The latest HWRF model forecasts that Ida will come ashore as a Category 1 hurricane near Pensacola, Florida around midnight Monday night. In addition, the cyclone phase evolution webpage forecasts that Ida will remain a warm cored tropical system right through landfall. So, I have to disagree with the National Hurricane Center and I do believe that Ida will still be a tropical system and come ashore as a tropical system.
Ida is currently tracking northwest at a forward speed of 12 mph. Ida is forecast to come very close to the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula by early this afternoon and Ida will then track into the Gulf of Mexico tonight and then speed up in forward speed on Monday. Based on the latest model guidance and also the strength of the incoming trough, I have to disagree with the NHC on the timing of Ida. I think the storm will reach the northern Gulf much quicker than the NHC forecast; in fact, the GFS model forecasts Ida will make landfall in the extreme western Florida panhandle on Tuesday morning. The European model forecasts that Ida will be ashore on Monday night as does the GFDL, HWRF and Canadian models. So, my thinking is that Ida will be in the northern Gulf of Mexico by Monday evening and then come ashore somewhere between Apalachee Bay, Florida and Gulfport, Mississippi with the most likely area being between Mobile, Alabama and Fort Walton Beach, Florida. The time of landfall will be between midnight Monday night and 9 am Tuesday morning. The strength of Ida at landfall looks to be somewhere between a 65 mph tropical storm and a 80 mph Category 1 hurricane.
The northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, including Cancun and Cozumel will have hurricane conditions today, especially late this morning into this afternoon. Very heavy rainfall, hurricane force winds and a storm surge of up to 4 feet above ground level is likely in the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula today.
Ida will effect much of the northern Gulf coast with heavy rainfall of 2 to 6 inches, tropical storm force winds, high seas and coastal flooding starting on Monday and continuing through Tuesday. I understand, but respectfully disagree, on the National Hurricane Center letting the local NWS offices handle Ida with local watches and warnings and not issue a Tropical Storm or even a Hurricane Watch for parts of the northern Gulf Coast. So, residents and vacationers along the northern Gulf coast should closely monitor local media or their local National Weather Service office for the latest watches and warnings.

beachmouse · #29 11-08-2009, 09:32 AM

I envision some happy surfers over the next couple of days.

ata · #30 11-08-2009, 09:54 AM

wow the water is freezing. how does a storm gather so much energy with the water temp in the high 60's?

DuneLaker · #31 11-08-2009, 09:57 AM

Hurricane Watch just posted (8:40ish am. CST 11-8-09) from Louisianna to Mississippi/Alabama border. For those not familiar, Pensacola, on the western border of Florida, is only about 80 miles west of SoWal. Mobile, Alabama is about a two hour drive and we can be in Biloxi, Mississippi under 4 hours. I've personally pulled my boat up a little more on shore and took the plug out. Monday night should be very interesting with hightide at 1:39 a.m. (really Tuesday morning).

Beach Runner · #32 11-08-2009, 10:08 AM

Tropical storm Ida heading toward SoWal ... so am I.

Didn't like the last few NHC maps since those that showed it curving towards Tampa. Plus a good excuse for me to join hubby at the beach.

Smiling JOe · #33 11-08-2009, 10:11 AM

water temps may be in the upper 60s right now in the shallow water along our beach, but in the deeper depths, there is so much mass that it takes longer for it to cool down and temps are still warmer from the summer, around 75-80F degrees right now.

Looking at the tracking maps, it seems that we may get hit one way or another from Hurricane Ida, either from the north as it sweeps east across the FL panhandle, or from the open waters of the Gulf to our south.

Good news is that only one tracking model for Invest 96 ( a seperate storm) is showing that storm moving into the Gulf, and the other models take Invest 96 back into the Pacific.

At this time, Dr Masters hasn't updated his weather blog since yesterday. He should have an update sometime this morning. WeatherUnderground.com

Smiling JOe · #34 11-08-2009, 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Beach Runner

Tropical storm Ida heading toward SoWal ... so am I.

Didn't like the last few NHC maps since those that showed it curving towards Tampa. Plus a good excuse for me to join hubby at the beach.

Ida is once again a Hurricane. Currently, it is expected to grow to Cat 2, then back to Cat 1 before coming ashore. Tie down your lawn furniture.

nicdeedoop · #35 11-08-2009, 01:26 PM

Hurricane Watch Alabama/Mississippi border to Mexico Beach

Gidget · #36 11-08-2009, 02:08 PM

Cat. 2 Ida Targeting SE Louisiana | KBMT ABC 12 - News, Weather and Sports - Beaumont - Port Arthur, TX Beaumont - Port Arthur, Texas | Hurricane News

Is now a CAT 2

If this prediction is correct, then we get the right quadrant where most of bad rain and tornadoes usually are.

G

seagrovegirl · #37 11-08-2009, 02:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 30A Skunkape

My weather lab predicts a light drizzle and some downed pine cones. Even if this thing hits us it will be wimpier than the tropical storm that struck earlier in the year. Relax all, and enjoy this fine fall weather

Way too cute, I love it!!!!!

TooFarTampa · #38 11-08-2009, 02:42 PM

*fingers in ears* la la la la la la

Gidget · #39 11-08-2009, 03:22 PM

Not good for construction site.

CSully · #40 11-08-2009, 04:14 PM

You have to laugh at peoples different interpretation of freezing....I was swimming on Tuesday in the Gulf...didnt think it was too bad at all!

Quote:

Originally Posted by ata

wow the water is freezing. how does a storm gather so much energy with the water temp in the high 60's?

DuneLaker · #41 11-08-2009, 06:55 PM

Here's how the gulf and beach looks on Sunday afternoon, Nov. 8, 2009. Sunset here is early around 4:50 p.m. High tide isn't until around midnight tonight and already we are seeing some washover into the coastal dune lake. Lovely sunset with lots of friends and neighbors enjoying the delightful weather. All wave action, not much wind. Very pleasant temperature.

NotDeadYet · #42 11-08-2009, 07:01 PM

Very pretty!

Caroling · #43 11-08-2009, 07:38 PM

I see a lot of "batten the hatches". Is anyone packing up and leaving for the duration of Ida?

TableFiveChef · #44 11-08-2009, 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ata

wow the water is freezing. how does a storm gather so much energy with the water temp in the high 60's?

The water is very warm in the southern Gulf and Carribean as they are tropical climates. As the storm tracks north it will lose it's power because the water temps in the northern Gulf are much cooler this time of year because we are in a temperate zone.

aleonard · #45 11-08-2009, 09:18 PM

Cantore just tweeted that he is on his way to Florida

Arkiehawg · #46 11-08-2009, 09:58 PM

The trend continues to shift to the East. 21:00 NHC advisory.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IDA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
900 PM CST SUN NOV 08 2009

...IDA HEADING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD....HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED
FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

AT 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

aleonard · #47 11-08-2009, 10:53 PM

WEAR is pretty on top of closings and evacuations right now
WEAR ABC 3

BREAKING NEWS - Escambia County, FL declared a state of emergency Sunday evening. They are asking for voluntary evacuations along coastal areas. Bridges will be shut down if winds sustain 45 mph or more.

School closings (last updated 11/08 at 9:38 p.m.):

Escambia County schools - CLOSED Monday (11/09) AND Tuesday (11/10). Superintendent Malcolm Thomas closed the schools so that emergency officials could prepare the buildings to be used as shelters. Only custodial staff, food service workers, and "critical personnel" need to be in schools Monday. For more information, you may call (850) 469-5306.

Beach Runner · #48 11-08-2009, 11:21 PM

Anyone boarding up yet?

Hubby had already planned to be at the beach ("Oh, Pizza Bar. Punish me with your excellent food." LOL!), but I haven't decided if I need to cancel classes and drive down to tomorrow help him.

Gidget · #49 11-09-2009, 07:29 AM

Downgraded to CAT 1 this morning. At least that is some good news.

G

BeachSiO2 · #50 11-09-2009, 08:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smiling JOe

don't forget about the extra sand it should likely push onto the beach.

Looking like a pretty good prognostication...

DuneLaker · #51 11-09-2009, 09:14 AM

Pelicans gliding over outfall at Eastern Lake Monday morning as Hurricane Ida approaches the Emerald Coast. As tide retreats, still getting some overwash.

Waves are larger this Monday morning. Breaking more out on second sand bar and then drifting in to shore this am. You'll be able to see the hightide mark on a few of the pictures I'll post. Tonight's hightide likely to come up more. Outfall got some overwash last night, lake just a little higher. Some area sprinklers are STILL ON. Please turn them OFF. Heavy rain forecast.

kurt · #52 11-09-2009, 09:23 AM

Thanks for the pics and reports!

Surf lapping at some walkovers and dunes now.

kurt · #53 11-09-2009, 09:54 AM

Downgraded to tropical storm.

This looks to be a relatively minor event here with some coastal erosion - not expecting much wind or damage but lots of rain and flooding in low lying areas.

Gidget · #54 11-09-2009, 09:55 AM

Good news Kurt. Of course my first concern is for life, but I have to admit I am breathing easier for my little house being built.

THANKS SoWal forum for keeping me informed.

G

kurt · #55 11-09-2009, 09:58 AM

Some beachcam looks - Panama City Beach, Seagrove Beach, Blue Mountain Beach, Miramar Beach

Note the surfer headed out.

Untitled-4.jpg

Untitled-2.jpg

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Untitled-1.jpg

Lake View Too · #56 11-09-2009, 10:07 AM

Poor Gidget, you must resist the temptation to hover and protect your "newborn" house. It will make it thru this just fine.

Caroling · #57 11-09-2009, 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kurt

Some beachcam looks - Panama City Beach, Seagrove Beach, Blue Mountain Beach, Miramar Beach

Thanks for these. Is there a list of beachcams online? Seagrove Beach of special interest to me.

kurt · #58 11-09-2009, 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Caroling

Thanks for these. Is there a list of beachcams online? Seagrove Beach of special interest to me.

Coming soon!

jdarg · #59 11-09-2009, 10:39 AM

Double red and beaches are now closed, and Sara Comander has called for a local state of emergency.

DuneLaker · #60 11-09-2009, 10:39 AM

As you are listening, reading or watching reports coming out of Pensacola and hearing about a road being closed or overwashed, this is it. This road is about 75 miles west of South Walton, Walton County. The Gulf Island National Seashore Road reopened this summer. You go over a bridge at Navarre and travel along an incredible beach road to Pensacola. Very exposed, however, to nature and the elements. Lots of sand blown over on bike path and road even on this lovely summer day pictured below. You'll hear about Ft. Pickens, too. Here is picture of where you turn off Gulf Island National Seashore Road to travel down to Ft. Pickens. I understand the National Park Service has closed that road for now.

ata · #61 11-09-2009, 10:47 AM

that road form pensicola floods when theres a rainstorm. that drive threw the state park area rivals any place on 30'a for beauty.

DD · #62 11-09-2009, 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuneLaker

As you are listening, reading or watching reports coming out of Pensacola and hearing about a road being closed or overwashed, this is it. This road is about 75 miles west of South Walton, Walton County. The Gulf Island National Seashore Road reopened this summer. You go over a bridge at Navarre and travel along an incredible beach road to Pensacola. Very exposed, however, to nature and the elements. Lots of sand blown over on bike path and road even on this lovely summer day pictured below. You'll hear about Ft. Pickens, too. Here is picture of where you turn off Gulf Island National Seashore Road to travel down to Ft. Pickens. I understand the National Park Service has closed that road for now.

Sunkist and I made this drive back in the spring....awesome!

jdarg · #63 11-09-2009, 11:12 AM

Walton County schools closed tomorrow- and we are off on Wednesday for Veteran's Day- so mid-week vacay!

kurt · #64 11-09-2009, 12:23 PM

Ida official closings and announcements - Walton County Schools and other closings [thank Ida]

DuneLaker · #65 11-09-2009, 12:28 PM

Not to worry or overly concern you, but here is what it looked like after Tropical Storm Arlene, June 11, 2005. If you've got anything stored under a boardwalk, I'd suggest you remove it. Tropical Storm Ida may be nothing like this. Depends on where and how it comes in. Just be prudent and wise. A positive aspect comparing this year to 2005 -- far less junk on beach. Saw beach patrol going by a little while ago. Guess TDC has also picked up trash bags from beach access areas, et . Boardwalks were not built back in many cases to the extent they protruded out to gulf here. Good thing, imho. Fences, etc. built too close to outfall, gulf etc. are ripped out time and time again and end up in lake and gulf.

Lake can rise quite a bit with a tropical storm and get a lot of salt water infusion.

Gidget · #66 11-09-2009, 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lake View Too

Poor Gidget, you must resist the temptation to hover and protect your "newborn" house. It will make it thru this just fine.

Thanks! We had to lash the construction portalet to the house lol!

Funny thing about our house. Once completed it will be SUPER strong - 12 inch concrete walls and parapet roof - I wouldn't give this storm a second thought or any other for that matter. However, at this stage, not so strong and any gusts are not welcome!

BTW, what is the link for those great beach cam sites Kurt?

Thanks again
G

30ashopper · #67 11-09-2009, 01:33 PM

Sheriff's department just robo called warning residents south of highway 20 in low lying areas and weak structures to evacuate.

kurt · #68 11-09-2009, 02:21 PM

Buoy data showing wind speeds around 50 knots.

NDBC - Observations - Radial Search

kurt · #69 11-09-2009, 02:22 PM

kurt · #70 11-09-2009, 02:22 PM

sbw · #71 11-09-2009, 02:26 PM

Here's the link to one Seagrove Beach cam:

Seagrove Beach Web Cam

scooterbug44 · #72 11-09-2009, 02:28 PM

What's the ETA for it to hit Sowal? This evening?

kurt · #73 11-09-2009, 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scooterbug44

What's the ETA for it to hit Sowal? This evening?

Post 3 has a constantly updated forecast - mostly feeling effects tomorrow.

kurt · #74 11-09-2009, 02:41 PM

Pensacola - The Island Empress Webcam

Navarre - http://www.navarrebeachlife.com/robo_navarre_cam1.html

Caroling · #75 11-09-2009, 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scooterbug44

What's the ETA for it to hit Sowal? This evening?

Last I heard was 7 a.m. Tuesday

Arkiehawg · #76 11-09-2009, 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gidget

Thanks! We had to lash the construction portalet to the house lol!

Funny thing about our house. Once completed it will be SUPER strong - 12 inch concrete walls and parapet roof - I wouldn't give this storm a second thought or any other for that matter. However, at this stage, not so strong and any gusts are not welcome!

BTW, what is the link for those great beach cam sites Kurt?

Thanks again
G

Your neighbor thanks you.....

In years past, we have had a river of blue coming from the construction sites after a TS or Cane....

scooterbug44 · #77 11-09-2009, 11:29 PM

Word of Wisdom - check for birds before taking down your hanging plants!
I almost had a heart attack after taking a nesting bird to the side of a head while storm-proofing!!!!

DuneLaker · #78 11-10-2009, 06:44 AM

Tuesday. Nov.10, 2009. At 5:30 a.m. here on the eastern side of SoWal, it is only raining slightly. Was able to let the dog out with no problem. There were a few dead limbs about from my wild and native trees. Must have had a little squall come through just before I got up. Took flashlight down to look at lakefront. At this time coastal dune lake is up, but only about 7 inches. This is a lot, but not much considering the potential. Will have to see what day brings. Understand Ida hasn't landed yet. Anxious for daybreak to see the surf and how it has cut through the outfall, if at all. Local TV stations were on when I got up, but now both are off the air. CH7 and CH13 out of Panama City Beach and Panama City.

DuneLaker · #79 11-10-2009, 07:02 AM

Understand Ida came ashore. Can see gulf, surf and shore now. Waves are really crashing in and rolling well onto beach. Wave after wave is entering coastal dune lake Eastern Lake. It is not raining here right now. Radar shows huge band coming in at Panama City to the east.

lenzoe · #80 11-10-2009, 07:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuneLaker

Understand Ida came ashore. Can see gulf, surf and shore now. Waves are really crashing in and rolling well onto beach. Wave after wave is entering coastal dune lake Eastern Lake. It is not raining here right now. Radar shows huge band coming in at Panama City to the east.

Thanks for the early morning report.

Could you see how far up the beach the waves are rolling? Is it hittiing or passing any dune walkovers? That Island Empress beach cam over in Pensacola does not show the surf hitting the dune plantings. Just wondering how that compares to Seagrove? Thanks again.

Gidget · #81 11-10-2009, 07:35 AM

All is fine here in Destin! From what I can tell from radar there's nothing much left.

I am so doing a happy happy dance this morning - as we all seemed to have dodged anything major and the structure of our house building was not compromised.

So GOOD MORNING SoWal!!!!!!!!!!

Have a great day - I know I will.

G

Randy that is awful about the portalet! Glad my Eagle Scout dh - who prepares for everything - thought to lash it - I don't think it would take much to tip that baby over!

beacheart · #82 11-10-2009, 07:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lenzoe

Thanks for the early morning report.

Could you see how far up the beach the waves are rolling? Is it hittiing or passing any dune walkovers? That Island Empress beach cam over in Pensacola does not show the surf hitting the dune plantings. Just wondering how that compares to Seagrove? Thanks again.

The waves are going under the bottom of the wqlkovers on the beach near Gulf Place. There is no beach. I hate to think what willl happen if we have a real storm next year.

DuneLaker · #83 11-10-2009, 07:56 AM

A few pictures on the way from Eastern Lake outfall and SugarDunes walkover.

PEARL · #84 11-10-2009, 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lenzoe

Thanks for the early morning report.

Could you see how far up the beach the waves are rolling? Is it hittiing or passing any dune walkovers? That Island Empress beach cam over in Pensacola does not show the surf hitting the dune plantings. Just wondering how that compares to Seagrove? Thanks again.

The waves are up to and under the beach stairs in Seagrove, at Beachside condos (next to Emerald Hills). Some of the dunes were lost, and lots of the underlying black peat is exposed. Where exactly are you interested in? It was a pretty wild night on the coast, I've never been here for a tropical storm!

kurt · #85 11-10-2009, 08:06 AM

A mild event for SoWal. Power is out. Where is my 3G promised today? Thanks for the reports.

DuneLaker · #86 11-10-2009, 08:22 AM

Waves are still lapping in. Surf is still up. Outfall is wide and flat. Barely over the knees of the seagull. Tues am about 6:30 a.m. Eastern Lake Outfall, South Walton, Walton County, Florida. Looking west towards Ramsgate.

SugarDunes looking east.

New configuration of Eastern Lake outfall cut looking north towards 30A.

Another west view from Eastern Lake, Coastal Dune Lake outfall. Tues. am.

Looking east, houses at Eastern Lake. Whoa. Must have hit larger resize on this one. Not bad for early morning work. More coffee on the way.

lenzoe · #87 11-10-2009, 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PEARL

The waves are up to and under the beach stairs in Seagrove, at Beachside condos (next to Emerald Hills). Some of the dunes were lost, and lots of the underlying black peat is exposed. Where exactly are you interested in? It was a pretty wild night on the coast, I've never been here for a tropical storm!

Thanks. If you happen to see what's going on at the beach front at Ramsgate in front of Summer's Edge I'd appreciate a description (next to the Ramsgate public beach access near Eastern Lake, Commodore's Retreat, Eastern Shores, Leeward, Dolphin's Watch, etc). Thanks.

BeachSiO2 · #88 11-10-2009, 08:30 AM

Keep in mind that the water is still elevated and the winds are now out of the south. This is good news as now the beach is beginning to recover and the sand that has been pulled out into the nearshore, shallow areas is being pushed back onto the beach. So, it's a little early to get a clear reading on beach erosion with these two factors underway.

kurt · #89 11-10-2009, 08:33 AM

Ida made landfall at 5:40 a.m. CST at Dauphin Island, Ala. Wind speed had fallen from 70 to 45 mph overnight.

DuneLaker · #90 11-10-2009, 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kurt

Ida made landfall at 5:40 a.m. CST at Dauphin Island, Ala. Wind speed had fallen from 70 to 45 mph overnight.

Looks like it came in a little east of the November 1893 Hurricane.

DuneLaker · #91 11-10-2009, 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kurt

Ida made landfall at 5:40 a.m. CST at Dauphin Island, Ala. Wind speed had fallen from 70 to 45 mph overnight.

Here's a picture of Dauphin Island I have from Dr. Carl Froede, geologist. Others may know him. I think this picture was after Hurricane Ivan. Regardless, this barrier island is on the edge, imho. Low elevation, exposure, etc. Would like to get an update on Dauphin Island's (Alabama) status after Tropical Storm Ida's pass or landing. FYI Santa Rosa Island is a Barrier Island. That is the island that road was closed on previous post. Santa Rosa Island's length covers a lot of the Emerald Coast. Okaloosa Island is really the eastern end of this barrier island. Folks in Okaloosa just renamed that end after they became a county in 1915. Barrier Islands are unique in their development and function.

ShallowsNole · #92 11-10-2009, 09:43 AM

Rockin' and rollin' over here for about an hour, 2-ish/3-ish a.m.. Not bad by tropical standards; had the door to the front porch open in order to enjoy it and get fresh air. Bay is a little up but not bad.

Glad everyone is OK!

Caroling · #93 11-10-2009, 11:17 AM

Water is high about 6:30 a.m.. Usually lower at this dock on the NE shore of Eastern Lake north. Looking west to where tropical storm Ida has recently come ashore in AL. There is a bright light up to the right in Point Washington State Forest, where there should be nothing. It might be a lens flare, but usually that is from the sun or a bright light source. ??
After this walk, I drove to the beach and got video. Posted one of waves to Facebook SoWal.

Gidget · #94 11-10-2009, 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Caroling

Water is high about 6:30 a.m.. Usually lower at this dock on the NE shore of Eastern Lake north. Looking west to where tropical storm Ida has recently come ashore in AL. There is a bright light up to the right in Point Washington State Forest, where there should be nothing. It might be a lens flare, but usually that is from the sun or a bright light source. ??
After this walk, I drove to the beach and got video. Posted one of waves to Facebook SoWal.

I couldn't find the pic on SoWal facebook page. Is it up yet?

Thanks

G

Caroling · #95 11-10-2009, 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gidget

I couldn't find the pic on SoWal facebook page. Is it up yet?
G

Yes, look under "fan videos". On my facebook layout, scroll down to lower left. I just made a 2.5 minute video walking toward Deer Lake SP. Can't figure out how to get it in here so will youtube it. Will link here ASAP. It was glorious on the beach after dawn. A few sprinkly showers, but basically the rain is gone.

kurt · #96 11-10-2009, 01:14 PM

Thanks Caroling - Facebook doesn't allow embedding on other sites, youtube is a good way to go. Then just copy and paste the video's URL in a message here and it will show up automatically.

The spot on your photo looks like refraction through a raindrop.

Gidget · #97 11-10-2009, 01:34 PM

Found it Caroling - thanks!

G

Beach Runner · #98 11-10-2009, 01:44 PM

Before Ida, the bottom posts on our walkover only had a few inches showing. Sand was covering the bottom three steps. Now there's over a foot of the posts showing. So that means we lost about a foot of sand.

Could have been worse, so I won't complain.

EDIT: Actually, on looking at it again, the erosion was primarily around the beach walkover. The dunes don't look much different.

Caroling · #99 11-10-2009, 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kurt

paste the video's URL in a message here and it will show up automatically.

OK. Here is early morning video of the shore from access #8 going east toward Deer Lake State Park. Turn down the sound of the raging waves unless you want to hear my few comments.

YouTube- Tropical Storm Ida coming ashore in SoWal

kurt · #**100** 11-10-2009, 02:03 PM

Thanks Caroling - that really shows how high the water got. The sun through the clouds is amazing!