An INCONVENIENT Inconvenient Truth - Hurricane Predictions Reversed

[BlueMtnBeachVagrant]

Global Warming Researchers Reverse Stance on Storm Intensity (http://www.dailytech.com/Global+Warming+Researchers+Reverse+Stance+on+Storm +Intensity/article11471.htm)

I thought it was time we started talkng about hurricanes again.;-) Obama, Hilary and Rev Wrong are getting a little old. SoWal etiquette injected here: :biggrin:


Keep in mind that hurricane expert Kerry Emanuel is a professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT.

From the above article:


http://images.dailytech.com/nimage/7883_aitruth.jpg
The image of a hurricane-spawning smokestack was used to promote the film, An Inconvenient Truth.


Author of the theory that global warming breeds stronger hurricanes recants his view

Noted Hurricane Expert Kerry Emanuel has publicly reversed his stance on the impact of Global Warming on Hurricanes. Saying "The models are telling us something quite different from what nature seems to be telling us," Emanuel has released new research indicating that even in a rapidly warming world, hurricane frequency and intensity will not be substantially affected.

"The results surprised me," says Emanuel, one of the media's most quoted figures on the topic.


Please be careful when jumping on bandwagons.

[sowalgayboi]

Seems about time to get everyone in a nice frenzied panic. :biggrin:

Not to go against the grain, but they did just up the predictions for this years hurricane projections. Of course that is Mr. Couldn'tgetitrightifmylifedependedonit from Colorado. :roll:

[TreeFrog]

Dr. Jeff Masters at www.wunderground.com/tropical is always an informed and non-sensational expert. He has repeated said that we shouldn't put too much stock in the CSU April forecast from Drs. Gray and Klotzbach. It's just too early for accuracy. He always goes on to say their updated June forecast is well worth heeding.

Here's what on his current blog:



"If the forecasts of near normal sea surface temperatures, below average wind shear, no El Niño, and below average African dust come true, the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season should be well above average in activity. We are also in the midst of an active hurricane period that began in 1995. Since 1995, we've averaged 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 intense hurricanes, and this is a reasonable forecast for 2008 (the 100-year climatology is 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes). By May, the atmosphere and ocean begin to give us significant clues about the upcoming hurricane season. Tune into the early June seasonal forecasts issued by NOAA, the Colorado State group, and TSR!"

[tistheseason]

NO HURRICANES THIS YEAR!!! :clap:

(We can hope, right?)

I never understood telling us (with terrible certainty) that the hurricane season is going to be terrible. What are we suppose to do with that information. Does it encourage us to be more prepared? Or are you already as prepared as you could be?

[Bob]

http://www.dhs.gov/xinfoshare/programs/Copy_of_press_release_0046.shtm this is how others justify their existence.

[Gypsea]

Seems about time to get everyone in a nice frenzied panic. :biggrin:

Not to go against the grain, but they did just up the predictions for this years hurricane projections. Of course that is Mr. Couldn'tgetitrightifmylifedependedonit from Colorado. :roll:


Love that!!! :funn: