Hurricane Wilma

[tropicwatch]

Hopefully it will drift west across the Yucatan and into Mexico. I am not wishing anything bad for those folks, just want the season to end. For the next few days there won't be much movement at all.

Model Tracks & Floater Image (http://tropicwatch.info)

[TooFarTampa]

Jeff Masters says this system is ripe for development, and it could be heading for southwest Florida. :bang: :bang: :bang:

Wilma :banned:

[Smiling JOe]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT24/refresh/AL2405W5_sm2+gif/231353W_sm.gif

Right now, that show movement (straight line) toward Pensacola. :shock:

[Beach Runner]

:puke:

[bsmart]

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=24

Latest models have this as a major hurricane in the Gulf by late next week, one of the models curves it across the FL Peninsula near Tampa almost in a Charley like fashion.

[aquaticbiology]

I still miss walkimg out the back door and seeing the bright white sand, but its times like this I'm glad I moved 100 miles inland. Talk about a setback from the edge! Maybe the CCL will be moved way up here and I just beat the pack.

[Miss Kitty]

y'all are correct...BAN WILMA and throw up on her! Lyons said this am for western FL to be on the look out.

[wetwilly]

I like the one model track that takes it back to the east and out into the Atlantic to die. If it does that, it will not be a threat to anyone. :clap_1:

I don't like any of the other tracks since they all show straight lines North. :bang:

Still very early in the forecast. Maybe the 11am update will show something? :idontno:

[TooFarTampa]

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=24

Latest models have this as a major hurricane in the Gulf by late next week, one of the models curves it across the FL Peninsula near Tampa almost in a Charley like fashion.

:puke:

[bsmart]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2005101606-twenty-fo24l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

[TooFarTampa]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2005101606-twenty-fo24l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Oh, yeah, I needed that. NOT!!!

EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF!!!

(to quote BeachRunner)

[wetwilly]

I say no to anymore storms :bang: .

[Beach Runner]

Oh, yeah, I needed that. NOT!!!

EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF
EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFFF EFF EFFF EFFF!!!

(to quote BeachRunner)
LOL. And ditto again.

[tropicwatch]

:bang: I was hoping the model runs would suggest more a right turn towards the Atlantic but no joy! This is tooooooo muuuucccchhh!!

Tropicwatch.info (http://tropicwatch.info )

[Miss Kitty]

I still have not looked at your links. Just floating down the De-Nile River!

[Smiling JOe]

Looks like she is gaining wind speed.

[Bob]

SoWal will remain safe!!!!

[Miss Kitty]

SoWal will remain safe!!!!

With your mug, I propose we park you on the beach, 24 hours a day until the storm goes away. Wilma will be skeered of you!!!

[Smiling JOe]

I hear talk by some folks saying that the Gulf is too cold for hurricanes. In reality, it may feel cold to your skin, but it is warm enough to get the hurricanes going. I seeTS Wilma is still gaining wind speed and this will probably continue if she keeps her line towards New Orleans, where she is currently pointing. Over the last 24 hours, Wilma's wind speed has increased 33%.
Better keep a watchful eye out for Wilma.

[Miss Kitty]

Throw Pebbles at Wilma and then get Bam-Bam to club her repeatedly.

[ShallowsNole]

Throw Pebbles at Wilma and then get Bam-Bam to club her repeatedly.

LOL! :lolabove:

Seriously, I get worried when storms cross the Yucatan and then get steered by a front heading east. For example, Opal and Eloise. :eek:

[iwishiwasthere]

You are too funny! :rolling:

[Rita]

Throw Pebbles at Wilma and then get Bam-Bam to club her repeatedly.
:rolling:

[bsmart]

Seriously, I get worried when storms cross the Yucatan and then get steered by a front heading east. For example, Opal and Eloise. :eek:


Agreed. One of the forecast write ups from the NHC made reference to this being an Opal-esque type situation. But the model runs are all over the place with this, so its best to just keep an eye on it.

[SHELLY]

Throw Pebbles at Wilma and then get Bam-Bam to club her repeatedly.

WILMA....BAM-BAM.....PEBBLES??.....and the installation of the Flintstones Waterpark in the 30A subdivision.....merely a COINCIDENCE???? :confused:

[Bob]

Everyone remain calm. The omnipotent force depicted in my avatar will shield SoWal from harm[except seawall/geotube owners]. The force has been contracted through 1Nov 2005, and I expect performance on this binding agreement.

[Beachlover2]

WILMA....BAM-BAM.....PEBBLES??.....and the installation of the Flintstones Waterpark in the 30A subdivision.....merely a COINCIDENCE???? :confused:


:floor: :floor: :rofl: :rolling:

[ShallowsNole]

Today - groceries, including bottled water and a few batteries.
Tomorrow - groceries, including canned meats (yuk) and a few batteries.
The next day - a different store, for groceries, water and batteries.

:pissed:

[kathydwells]

Today - groceries, including bottled water and a few batteries.
Tomorrow - groceries, including canned meats (yuk) and a few batteries.
The next day - a different store, for groceries, water and batteries.

:pissed:

Don't forget the beer, or other type of alcohol if you are not a beer drinker..just helping a fellow poster out!!!!

[TooFarTampa]

Today - groceries, including bottled water and a few batteries.
Tomorrow - groceries, including canned meats (yuk) and a few batteries.
The next day - a different store, for groceries, water and batteries.

:pissed:
Bought my supplies yesterday at the Publix in South Tampa. Freaked out a couple of people in line. Felt like a worrywart until I woke up to see TS Wilma on the news. I think we have a bit more to worry about here than SoWal at this point. The most recent models forecast a decisive right turn, but it is of course too early to tell.

At least we have somewhere to evacuate. SoWal here we come!! :blink:

[Smiling JOe]

TS Wilma has gained another 25% in Max Sustained Wind Speed, since I posted this morning. Since yesterday morning its wind speed has almost doubled. Look out!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT24/refresh/AL2405W5_sm2+gif/231353W_sm.gif

[luvthebeach]

I hear talk by some folks saying that the Gulf is too cold for hurricanes. In reality, it may feel cold to your skin, but it is warm enough to get the hurricanes going. I seeTS Wilma is still gaining wind speed and this will probably continue if she keeps her line towards New Orleans, where she is currently pointing. Over the last 24 hours, Wilma's wind speed has increased 33%.
Better keep a watchful eye out for Wilma.

Aargh...this is awful! I definitely don't want Wilma the Witch hitting SoWal, but I don't want her following me to NOLA either! :bang: I've been assigned to work down there for the month of November. There's enough work down there without Wilma creating more havoc! I like the idea of parking Bob on the beach and scaring Wilma back to where she came from :eek:

[tropicwatch]

I don't want to wish harm on anyone but I like the latest models. They keep Wilma away from Northwest Florida. Just hope it stands. Sorry central and south FL.

Model tracks & Floater Image (http://tropicwatch.info)

[Smiling JOe]

Wilma is very close to becoming a Hurricane. She is now at 65 mph sustained wind speed. She has increased speed rapidly in the last two days. Currently, she is looking like whe wants to head to Tampa, although she can change in only a moment. Look out down there.

[TooFarTampa]

Tropicwatch, all the models have the storm taking a hard right on Friday. Why such a sharp turn, and is that a fairly sure thing? A more usual curvature would hammer us here in the TPA, so I'm trying to know whether I should feel better or not.

Where's the nailbiting smiley?

[Johnrudy]

Tropicwatch, all the models have the storm taking a hard right on Friday. Why such a sharp turn, and is that a fairly sure thing? A more usual curvature would hammer us here in the TPA, so I'm trying to know whether I should feel better or not.

Where's the nailbiting smiley?
We used to live in Palm Harbor. Are you in Tampa or more in the St. Pete area? There is always such terrible flooding in St. Pete with all the canals and low lying land. I'd be biting my nails too! There are so few roads exiting the peninsula. Besides, it's been a very, very long time since there's been a hurricane in the area.

[Bob]

I don't want to wish harm on anyone but I like the latest models. They keep Wilma away from Northwest Florida. Just hope it stands. Sorry central and south FL.

Model tracks & Floater Image (http://tropicwatch.info)The omnipotent force is just working as planned.

[TooFarTampa]

We used to live in Palm Harbor. Are you in Tampa or more in the St. Pete area? There is always such terrible flooding in St. Pete with all the canals and low lying land. I'd be biting my nails too! There are so few roads exiting the peninsula. Besides, it's been a very, very long time since there's been a hurricane in the area.


I'm on a different peninsula -- South Tampa, which is the area between Kennedy Ave. and MacDill AFB. We are about 3/4 mile from Tampa Bay and in a pretty high neighborhood, but if a major hurricane slices up Tampa Bay, we are in trouble. We'd probably be OK flood-wise in a Cat 3 direct hit, but most of South Tampa would be underwater. :( Which reminds me. I meant to get flood insurance this year but didn't. :bang: At least our house is up on a crawl space.

[Johnrudy]

I'm on a different peninsula -- South Tampa, which is the area between Kennedy Ave. and MacDill AFB. We are about 3/4 mile from Tampa Bay and in a pretty high neighborhood, but if a major hurricane slices up Tampa Bay, we are in trouble. We'd probably be OK flood-wise in a Cat 3 direct hit, but most of South Tampa would be underwater. :( Which reminds me. I meant to get flood insurance this year but didn't. :bang: At least our house is up on a crawl space.
We neve had flood insur. either and we were only about 2 blks. from the shoreline (Ozona area). Well, stay tuned. I just hope the area will be prepared IF it somes your way. Let's hope that it lessens in strength!!

[tropicwatch]

Tropicwatch, all the models have the storm taking a hard right on Friday. Why such a sharp turn, and is that a fairly sure thing? A more usual curvature would hammer us here in the TPA, so I'm trying to know whether I should feel better or not.

Where's the nailbiting smiley?

The strong right turn in the models are in anticipation of a strong frontal system. This time of year it is quite possible. I have not looked that closely but that is usually the reason for such a significant turn.

Model Tracks & Floater Image (http://tropicwatch.info)

[TooFarTampa]

The strong right turn in the models are in anticipation of a strong frontal system. This time of year it is quite possible. I have not looked that closely but that is usually the reason for such a significant turn.

Model Tracks & Floater Image (http://tropicwatch.info)

Thanks TW. And johnrudy -- I'm sure you know how lackadaisical we are around here. It has been 80 years I think. We are due. :shock:

http://www.yahoo-help.com/images/42a.gif

[Miss Kitty]

The omnipotent force is just working as planned.

That and your skeery face. Thanks Bob. Wasn't it generators last time?

[Bob]

That and your skeery face. Thanks Bob. Wasn't it generators last time?The generator theory went the way of my stock market advice, as Dennis came through and the need arose to hire the omnipotent force.

[BigR]

The strong right turn in the models are in anticipation of a strong frontal system. This time of year it is quite possible. I have not looked that closely but that is usually the reason for such a significant turn.

Model Tracks & Floater Image (http://tropicwatch.info)

This is the latest update. We shouldn't be too smug until we see it crossing the peninsula.(Edited for clarity)

THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT TO THE LEFT FOR THE FIRST 48 HR BASED ON THE CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST TRACK SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IN AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE MODELS DO NOT COMPLETELY AGREE ON HOW THE EASTERN U. S. TROUGH WILL EVOLVE...AND THESE DIFFERENCES COULD MAKE A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN WHAT PARTS OF FLORIDA WILMA WILL ULTIMATELY AFFECT.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BECOME MORE COMPLICATED. THE CURRENT
RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BRING WILMA TO CATEGORY FOUR STATUS IN THE NEXT 24 HR...AND IT WOULD NOT BE A SURPRISE TO SEE IT REACH CATEGORY FIVE BEFORE IT BOTTOMS OUT.
WHEN WILMA MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...IT SHOULD ENCOUNTER SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GRADUALLY INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. THIS SHOULD CAUSE A SLOW WEAKENING...ALTHOUGH IT IS PROBABLE THAT WILMA WILL STILL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA

[TooFarTampa]

150 mph winds at 1 a.m. This thing just became a hurricane Tuesday morning. It is just insanity! :bang:

[Johnrudy]

150 mph winds at 1 a.m. This thing just became a hurricane Tuesday morning. It is just insanity! :bang:
And now, it's a cat. 5!!!!!!!!!!

[iwishiwasthere]

All this happen since I went to bed last night??? :eek: That is unbelieveable!

[Miss Kitty]

And now, it's a cat. 5!!!!!!!!!!

Holy Cow! I just turned on the TV and saw that...last time I heard it was Cat. 2! Just read that the biatch has sustained winds of 175 mph and has the lowest record pressure in Atlantic Basin ever recorded.

[aquaticbiology]

same thing katrina and rita did - went from ts to cat 5 super fast

http://www.unknowncountry.com/news/?id=4949

[Smiling JOe]

Crazy, gusts are over 200mph. Wilma ain't so pretty. I always thought that Betty looked better anyway. You guys in SoFL better look out, even though the cold front is supposed to slow it down. Three days ago, Wilma's wind speed was only 30 mph. Only 1.5 months left of hurricane season.

[aquaticbiology]

1000 101...10

lets see, backwards that would be 2121555580, or did my dislexia kick in again?

[Smiling JOe]

lets see, backwards that would be 2121555580, or did my dislexia kick in again?


I think that would be your lexdisia.

[aquaticbiology]

I think that would be your lexdisia.

just showing my age (and dreaming of octal)

[Miss Kitty]

I think that would be your lexdisia.


woohoo!

[Bob]

Flintstones, meet the Flinstones...They're the modern stone-age family...From the town of Bedrock...They're a page right out of history...Some day, maybe Fred will win the fight...And the cat will stay out for the night... When you're with the Flinstones...Have a yabba-dabba-doo-time...A dabba-doo time...You'll have a gay old time.............................................. .............WILMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Smiling JOe]

Flintstones, meet the Flinstones...They're the modern stone-age family...From the town of Bedrock...They're a page right out of history...Some day, maybe Fred will win the fight...And the cat will stay out for the night... When you're with the Flinstones...Have a yabba-dabba-doo-time...A dabba-doo time...You'll have a gay old time.............................................. .............WILMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

So those are the words.

[Smiling JOe]

So if Naples gets hit by Hurr. Wilma and destroys the place, will home sales increase in SoWal?

[katie blue]

Some day, maybe Fred will win the fight...And the cat will stay out for the night...
Wow! I could never figure that line out. THANKS!
(And not only that, but I just learned that after "temporary layoffs, easy Credit rip-offs, scratchin and survivin..." comes: "hangin' in a chow line." ...good times! It's been a banner week.)

Hey is that Indiana Jones under Bob's mask?

[Smiling JOe]

Wow! I could never figure that line out. THANKS!
(And not only that, but I just learned that after "temporary layoffs, easy Credit rip-offs, scratchin and survivin..." comes: "hangin' in a chow line." ...good times! It's been a banner week.)

Hey is that Indiana Jones under Bob's mask?

Now if we can figure out the michael jackson songs... mama say mama sow ma ma ku za....

[wetwilly]

Now if we can figure out the michael jackson songs... mama say mama sow ma ma ku za....

Or some of the words to some of Dylan's and Springsteen's songs too.

[Smiling JOe]

Or some of the words to some of Dylan's and Springsteen's songs too.

Especially when Dylan sang them on tour back in the late 80's when I saw him. I never thought I would boo such an great poet, until I heard him sing while he was all whacked out on heroin. I sold my CD to the used CD store, and have not listened to much of his music since.

[Mermaid]

So if Naples gets hit by Hurr. Wilma and destroys the place, will home sales increase in SoWal?


Good Lord, don't even think about Wilma AND Naples in the same sentence! My parents are there, and yes, I phoned them and told them to hustle their butts over to Seagrove Beach. ASAP :bang:

I'm sick to death of hurricanes. :bang: :bang:

[Smiling JOe]

Good Lord, don't even think about Wilma AND Naples in the same sentence! My parents are there, and yes, I phoned them and told them to hustle their butts over to Seagrove Beach. ASAP :bang:

I'm sick to death of hurricanes. :bang: :bang:
Get them out of there, and let's hope for the best.

[Bob]

Wow! I could never figure that line out. THANKS!
(And not only that, but I just learned that after "temporary layoffs, easy Credit rip-offs, scratchin and survivin..." comes: "hangin' in a chow line." ...good times! It's been a banner week.)

Hey is that Indiana Jones under Bob's mask?gettin close

[Bob]

Especially when Dylan sang them on tour back in the late 80's when I saw him. I never thought I would boo such an great poet, until I heard him sing while he was all whacked out on heroin. I sold my CD to the used CD store, and have not listened to much of his music since.My brother-in-law worships Dylan, but he's smoked enough pot to kill several large farm animals.

[Landlocked]

Anyone know where I can find some pictures taken from the hurricane hunter planes? I know they post them somewhere but I can't find any recent ones.

[Smiling JOe]

Anyone know where I can find some pictures taken from the hurricane hunter planes? I know they post them somewhere but I can't find any recent ones.

I have not seen any photos posted as of yet, but here (www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pages/wilma2005/mission.html)are a list of the scheduled missions by the Hurricane Hunters - Wilma.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/graphics/wp3d.gif

When photos are posted, they should be on www.aoc.noaa.gov

[Mermaid]

Anyone know where I can find some pictures taken from the hurricane hunter planes? I know they post them somewhere but I can't find any recent ones.


LL, go www.ashtonsbb.com. That's the bed and breakfast inn that my sister-in-law's brother owns with his wife. They're in NO down the street from the art museum, about a mile from the French Quarter. They've posted a blog about what Katrina did to the inn and if you look at it, there's a link to the aerial photos you're looking for.

It's also a personal view into what Katrina did to New Orleans' natives. They took a lot of photos of walls blown out by Katrina, plaster damage, a fridge full of smelly blueberries... :bang: Life still ain't good in NO.

[Landlocked]

I have not seen any photos posted as of yet, but here (www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pages/wilma2005/mission.html)are a list of the scheduled missions by the Hurricane Hunters - Wilma.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/graphics/wp3d.gif

When photos are posted, they should be on www.aoc.noaa.gov

Thanks for the info. Those pics from the eyewall always impress me. I guess I'm a weather dork. Those pilots have to be just a little crazy to fly in to those suckers.

[ktschris]

Or some of the words to some of Dylan's and Springsteen's songs too.
Pearl Jam's "Yellowledbetter" never can figure what eddie is saying!

Oh and Wilma, go away!

[kathydwells]

Pearl Jam's "Yellowledbetter" never can figure what eddie is saying!

Oh and Wilma, go away!

Hey Girl, sorry about the game last night! Were you there? I just knew the Cards were going all the way!!! My condolences to all the Cards fans out there!! You too Seagrovelover!!!

[ktschris]

:bang: Yes, I was there. It was sad. But I think the cards fan showed great class by giving the Astros a standing O! and chanting their name.

Now if we could just get the hurricanes to stay away!!!

[seagrovelover]

Hey Girl, sorry about the game last night! Were you there? I just knew the Cards were going all the way!!! My condolences to all the Cards fans out there!! You too Seagrovelover!!!

thanks kathy d http://smiley.onegreatguy.net/cry.gif

[Miss Kitty]

:bang: Yes, I was there. It was sad. But I think the cards fan showed great class by giving the Astros a standing O! and chanting their name.

Now if we could just get the hurricanes to stay away!!!

Now that's what I call good sportsmanship!!!! I hope the Astros do STL proud in the World Series!

[BeachDreamer]

Now that's what I call good sportsmanship!!!! I hope the Astros do STL proud in the World Series!

GO ASTROS!!! :wub: :wub: :wub:

[wetwilly]

My brother-in-law worships Dylan, but he's smoked enough pot to kill several large farm animals.

Bob I'm LOL and I needed that. :rofl: Is it Clint Black or Dale Sr under the mask?

[Bob]

Bob I'm LOL and I needed that. :rofl: Is it Clint Black or Dale Sr under the mask?not quite! Somebody already guessed it a week or so ago.

[Ocean Lover]

It was me.. but I was sworn to secrecy. Right Bob?

[Ocean Lover]

Well, the secret has been revealed....

[tropicwatch]

Naples looks like it will get a good portion of Wilma. The Keys though appear to going to get more than it bargained for. Wilma is once a again a Cat 3 and strengthening. News reports indicate that the majority of the local population in the Keys did not evacuate.

This is a system that hasn't been seen very often. A strenghtening hurricane coming into the keys from the west, very unusual.
Tropicwatch.info (http://tropicwatch.info)

[Bob]

It was me.. but I was sworn to secrecy. Right Bob?Yes, you guessed it. I'm now free to use a new avatar....hmmmm....maybe back to a Napolean Dynamite theme again.